Posted: Thu Dec 8, 2022 2:41pm
Mathew, I made note in a recent post that as of November the inflation rate is was running at 11.1% and in Spain at 6.9%. The trend over two months showed the inflation rate in Spain exponentially decreasing, which is brilliant for those living in Spain, whereas the rate of inflation over the same period in the UK is increasing which is terrible.
I'm not exactly sure that the increases can be directly linked to the war in Ukraine, it doesn't help, but is not the sole reason. The mean price of crude (West Texas Light and Brent) on the spot market this morning is trading at $75 pb. much less that at the beginning of the war, yet pump prices are still far higher. Gas has increased by 4.44% to 5.723 / MMBtu, which is still lower than the start of the war. OPEC have decided not to cut production thereby keeping the downward price trend. It should not take so long to filter through to domestic suppliers. Pump prices in the UK used to change almost daily in respect to spot market prices. Now they don't. After spending almost, a lifetime in the upstream oil and gas industry, I don't understand what is going on. Could the threat of windfall taxes be the reason. Though the Oil and Gas industry do make huge profits they also experience huge losses from time to time. Their profits and losses of course are not UK centric but global, the profits from doing business in the UK are quite small in comparison to their disclosed profits.
I have never been involved on a project in the last 20 years that was not overall less $20 billion, my penultimate project for Exxon in South East Russia was in excess of $32 billion. What I'm getting at is the O$G companies invest billions back into the industry. Exploration is another extremely risky business, though never involved in drilling, I've known companies drill 30 or more dry wells before striking, sometimes they don't and sometimes the field and delivery is much lower than expected.
Getting back to energy prices, the downward price trend has been consistent for a number of months, yet domestic energy prices are still set to escalate. So, what is the reason. Could the reason be to condition us Prol's to use less energy, create a new industry for the already mega rich, such as heat pumps and force a carbon neutral agender driven by renewable green energy? Now do not misunderstand me; we all want a cleaner planet, but what was the sense in shutting down all coal fired power stations in the UK when they hadn't yet the capacity of green renewables to replace them. I believe politicians, through their lack of technical nous have been blindsided by the likes of Klause Schwab WEF and the UN COP agenda.
I'm glad to hear that the UK government this morning has seen sense and given the go-ahead to open the UK's first new coalmine. which will be steel manufacture and export. Coal is needed to smelt steel therefore it has to be more carbon friendly than buying from Poland and shipping it to the UK.....it's common sense.